Crantag wrote:I'll say my piece and when you respond I'll respond to what I consider worthy of response. I think the 'MMTers' are real economists and all, but I tend to disagree with them for the reasons I state.
The thing I find erroneous of your approach is you think you understand economics, but your entire body of knowledge is based on MMT blogs and videos.
I'm a Marxist (you've accused me of being mainstream on the basis I don't agree with MMT) but I've studied various schools.
I am pretty sure you are even ignorant of any certain parallels between MMT and Keynesianism.
For example, it was Keynes who said 'in the long run we're all dead.' (See your initial reply to my initial post for the paraphrase you offered, which I doubt you knew it came from Keynes. And that's not stating that I agree, I mostly don't agree with such notions. I don't agree that, hey we all gonna die, live it up and fuck the future generations. Seems like not ideal to me.)
You're wrong, I did and do know that "In the long run , we are all dead," was said by Keynes. I do know about the parallels between MMT and Keynesianism. However, current Neo-Keynesianism has deviated from his writings a lot on key points. MMTers think they went backwards. That is Keynes was right-ish, and Noe-Keynesians moved away from the right parts and so are further from correct than Keynes was.
You say above that you'll state some reasons where you think MMT is wrong. But, I see very little of that here.
I must agree that most of my knowledge about economics comes from MMTers. So what? Why is this a bad thing? It is clear the me that most economic theory is not based on reality. There were 2 studies done about a decade apart in which econ. grad students were asked questions. One question was about how important they thought it was to study economic reality, and only about 10% thought it was important all all. Then MMTers told me that econ. is taught as being like plane geometry, where everything is proven from assumptions and nothing is proven by any looking at reality, i.e. historical econ. data. But, many of the assumptions in the proofs are false. It is explained that they are close to correct and that it is OK if the are false for that reason. Maybe they thought that was correct in 1970 when they formalized the theory. However, by 1980, Chaos Theory had been accepted in Mathematics. Chaos Theory showed that small errors can grow over time to swamp everything else. This is why the weather can never be predicted exactly even for 1 day ahead.
. . . In deductive logic, the 1st law, is that one can't have even 1 false premise in the proof, that assumed to be true. Yet, mainstream econ. has several false assumptions.
You assert 2 things. 1] I don't know much about all theories of econ. 2] That you are Marxist.
It is true, that I don't know much about current Marxian theory. It follows that I don't know what you believe.
. . . For example, take the Phillips curve. I'm very sure, but not 100% sure, that Marx said nothing about it. So, do you use the Phillips curve? If yes, why? If no, what is you relation between unemployment and inflation? Or, what causes inflation?
Anyway, you asserted that the fact that the $us is the reserve currency has a a lot to do with how it is that from 2000 to 2019 inflation in consumer goods (not incl. houses) was very low, despite the also fact that US Gov. deficits were very high. And also asserted that there are signs that the reserve currency status of the $us may end soon. And, this seemed like your reason that you think that MMTers are idiots and fools.
. .. What is the Marxian reason that is the basis for that prediction?
I say now that I ignorant prediction is that.
1] The Chinese yuan is not ever going to be the reserve currency because no one trusts the CCP not to just take their money.
2] The euro also can't be the reserve currency for 2 reasons.
. . a] The EU/ECB has already taken people's euros during the Cypress banking crisis.
. . b] The EU's rules keep nations from issuing much new debt. This because their GDP is not growing very fast and they are maxed out under the rules at 60% of GDP of debt. (Now the rules are relaxed, but the ECB is making noises that this may end soon.) Other nations like Germany don't issue much debt in any case or have a surplus. This is important because, IMO, the world's reserve currency needs new bonds being sold every month in huge amounts to store the savings of foreign holders of $ or euros at some positive interest rate.
3] Japan's yen can be the reserve currency because it economy is too small to produce the necessary bonds for foreigners to buy and it has a trade surplus, so how do foreigners get yen to buy Japanese bonds.
So, Crantag, what nation is going to replace the US soon.
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