This is a "what-if" game. Such games should be based on some semblance of reality.
If I remember right, Enigma machines were commonly used commercially before the war, and it was this usage that led the Poles (and perhaps others) to devote time and effort into decoding them. Furthermore, the Poles did not capture an Enigma machine, they bought the blue prints for one of the German military variants from a German who was trying to sell the plans for money - the French and British having passed on the offer. With that variant they had the base idea of how it worked and could extrapolate alternatives, but the knowledge gained from that machine became less useful as newer enigma machines were developed and introduced. The British
(or maybe Americans) also captured an Enigma machine and a book listing the encoding sequences from a uboat later in the war, a uboat that was supposed to have been scuttled but it wasn't, and the Brits took the risk to board it. This capture gave the allies a huge advantage against the uboats.
The captured Naval code books had huge consequences from a small series of actions that could conceivably have happened very differently (bombs went off on-time/early, procedure to destroy the books followed, the British hesitant to board an apparently to-be-scuttled ship, etc..). The Polish knowledge was a product of a logical policy over years, for it not to have happened would be itself a large and illogical change in history.
Panther tank begun in 37. French & Russians were well ahead of Germany in medium tank design circa 1940-41. As it was the Panther was still being de-bugged in 44.
Why would the Germans begin R&D for this kind of design so early when they were quite happy with the Panzer IIIs (let alone the 4s) at the time and saw no need in anything heavier? Many Panzer 4s were initially setup as anti infantry to support the Panzer III's which were the main line tanks against Polish and French armour.
I will add:
Ship mounted rotating radar. I don't believe it would have tipped the balance, but it seems like a change that is small, plausible and would have had real benefits (including the possible saving of the Bismarck) for the German surface fleet.
Mers el Kebir. There was some sort of snafu with giving the ultimatum, had that not happened the British may not have defaulted to destroying the French fleet there, and thus not gained a reputation for determination. Though, considering the pro-war forces in the USA, any sign of British resolve might have been hyped - if not Mers el Kebir then it would be another incident.
..I don't remember (and perhaps never knew) why the Germans didn't embrace artillery. I have heard the arguments about the airforce largely filling in that role, but I get the feeling there is more to it. If the reason was small and alternatives plausible, then I suspect more artillery would have helped.
Jaded centrist. Wary Cautious liberal. Obligated Engineer(Civil).
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