- 20 Jul 2010 20:52
#13451534
Err... I have a lot of respect for these authors, especially Anthony Beevor, but I think the question you have to ask yourselves, is in what year, in what month, did a German victory become unlikely.
At what point do the German War aims become unrealistic?
I would argue at the conclusion of the Battle of Moscow, just as Germany declares war on the United States.
While Germany would go on to win victories in Russia the following spring and summer, and against the allies in Africa, the Wehrmacht never recovered from the loses of this time, losing a high percentage of their veterans, and essentialy having blowed the country's entire war reserves of oil and supplies on Operation Barbarossa.
Notice Case Blau, the summer offensive of the following year that concluded with the Battle of Stalingrad. Seriously, just look at it on a map and compare it with the Fall Gelb (invasion of France), or Fall Weiss (invasion of Poland) or Operation Barbarossa (invasion of the Soviet Union). Look at the Order of Battle.
It is a significantly lower scale offensive, Germany pretty much rolled everything on a quick and decisive defeat of the Soviet Union in the summer of 1941, and when this failed to transpire the retention Hitler's "Greater Germany" became very unlikely.
Again, I'm not saying it would have been impossible for Germany to win the war after this, just that December 1941 was a spectacular defeat for the Heer from which it never really recovered.
- WHD
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"As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches one".
- Godwin's Law